Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.008333 0.009814 0.011595 0.013930 0.016964 0.020854 0.026354
2025-07-06 0.006594 0.008401 0.010839 0.014496 0.020093 0.028821 0.044631
2025-07-13 0.005781 0.007776 0.010696 0.015548 0.024031 0.039791 0.076519
2025-07-20 0.005125 0.007169 0.010347 0.016062 0.027214 0.051445 0.124356
2025-07-27 0.004562 0.006573 0.009846 0.016114 0.029512 0.063002 0.193720
2025-08-03 0.004138 0.006112 0.009456 0.016223 0.031964 0.077161 0.314191
2025-08-10 0.003712 0.005580 0.008837 0.015703 0.032737 0.087473 0.465833
2025-08-17 0.003311 0.005039 0.008112 0.014782 0.032129 0.092908 0.627554
2025-08-24 0.002997 0.004612 0.007538 0.014063 0.031810 0.099557 0.880617
2025-08-31 0.002841 0.004446 0.007433 0.014376 0.034635 0.123793 1.895462
2025-09-07 0.002633 0.004163 0.007061 0.013973 0.035096 0.137683 3.435105
2025-09-14 0.002435 0.003880 0.006654 0.013407 0.034806 0.147568 6.111370
2025-09-21 0.002301 0.003720 0.006508 0.013560 0.037515 0.186380 37.551425
2025-09-28 0.002206 0.003625 0.006493 0.014074 0.042106 0.259412 NaN
2025-10-05 0.002154 0.003606 0.006637 0.015081 0.049762 0.416825 NaN
2025-10-12 0.002070 0.003516 0.006605 0.015574 0.055700 0.624947 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001969 0.003378 0.006444 0.015624 0.059528 0.867943 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001880 0.003258 0.006310 0.015729 0.063967 1.268889 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001769 0.003082 0.006017 0.015230 0.064266 1.549294 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001648 0.002877 0.005636 0.014347 0.061399 1.602611 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001547 0.002707 0.005324 0.013656 0.059547 1.734491 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001500 0.002651 0.005291 0.013956 0.065313 3.042567 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001427 0.002531 0.005083 0.013570 0.065522 3.888739 NaN